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Quarterly report
With upside inflation risk lower, and interest rates restrictive, recession risk for late 2024 or early 2025 has increased. The c.55% recession probability from our last quarterly has grown to c.70%.
In the event of recession, Monetary Policy has the ammunition to respond. Investors who protect capital leading into the next recession, should be prepared to pivot when opportunities arise.
Seemingly temporary #inflation pressures have morphed into structural inflation, driven by a shortage of housing and workers. This has resulted in higher #interestrate expectations and being hugely disruptive to #markets.
#CentralBanks are slamming on the brakes. Where the Fed goes, the world follows, sometimes unwillingly. The sharp change in central bank policy settings has been a catalyst for a decline across all #assetclasses.
Could 2022 be the year market psychology transitions from flawless to hopeless? Find out in the #SnowgumQuarterly.
Our quarterly snapshot of key economic, investment and sector themes. Three stock to watch and a BREXIT special update. We also look at two of Snowgum's latest policy submissions.
